A contribution to attribution of recent global warming by out-of-sample Granger causality analysis ABSTRACT: The topic of attribution of recent global warming is usually faced by studies performed through global climate models (GCMs). Even simpler econometric models have been applied to this problem, but they led to contrasting results. In this article, we show…
Correlation between climate sensitivity and aerosol forcing and its implication for the “climate trap” ABSTRACT: Climate sensitivity and aerosol forcing are dominant uncertain properties of the global climate system. Their estimates based on the inverse approach are interdependent as historical temperature records constrain possible combinations. Nevertheless, many literature projections of future climate are based on…